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corrupted one the question is whether

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the

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screaming troll that disappears is

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identical

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with the one that reappears and so

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that's a transporter problem in star

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trek isn't it

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well uh it seems to me that

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uh the problem of identifying

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those things comes down to always a

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statistical and a probabilistic

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argument so the the

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the question still remains to find

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convincing arguments which are

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statistical and probabilistic instead of

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100 percent certain well

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first of all you're raising problems

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that are both epistemic and metaphysical

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in terms of philosophy because there's

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lots of debates still going on what

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causality is how it all works together

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and all that kind of thing

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and how we know what we know um

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it goes into the statistics in that and

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and in fact there's just no time to

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address those kind of issues here i had

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to simplify in order to fit it all

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together

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but in fact if we go with your premise

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there is one problem

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we have to treat the rest of the world

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the same way

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and it's not just psy experiences not

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just these kind of

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extra physical kinds of things that

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occur that you treat that way

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but the rest of our perception of the

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rest world has similar problems and so

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in fact life is a statistical game we

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gauge the probability of the truth of

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what we know

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based on how it fits into the context or

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coheres with the rest of

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everything else that we know and so we

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just weigh evidence that's all we do is

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weigh evidence

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and we think we know something but we

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only know it better than we than we know

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something else